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23 Nov
Lima viernes 4:00 PM

Seminario de Economía: Priors Rule: When do Malfeasance Revelations Help or Hurt Incumbent Parties

Hasta las 5:15 pm.

El Departamento de Economía de la Universidad de Piura tiene el agrado de invitar a usted al seminario de investigación:

 “Priors Rule: When do Malfeasance Revelations Help or Hurt Incumbent Parties?”

 

Expositor: Pablo Querubín, Ph.D.
New York University

 

Abstract: Effective policy-making requires that voters avoid electing malfeasant politicians. However, as our simple learning model emphasizing voters’ prior beliefs and updating highlights, informing voters of incumbent malfeasance may not entail sanctioning. Specifically, electoral punishment of incumbents revealed to be malfeasant is rare where voters already believed them to be malfeasant, while information’s effect on turnout is non-linear in the magnitude of revealed malfeasance. These Bayesian predictions are supported by a field experiment in-

forming Mexican voters about malfeasant mayoral spending before municipal elections. Given voters’ low expectations and initial uncertainty, as well as politician responses, relatively severe malfeasance revelations increased incumbent vote share on average. Consistent with voter learning, rewards were lower among voters with lower malfeasance priors, among voters with more precise prior beliefs, when audits revealed greater malfeasance, and among voters updating less favorably. Furthermore, both low and high malfeasance revelations increased turnout,

while less surprising information reduced turnout. (Paper)

 

 

Fecha: Viernes 23 de noviembre de 2018
4:00 p.m. – 5:15 p.m.
Dirección: Universidad de Piura (Campus Lima) – Aula D11
Calle Mártir Olaya 162, Miraflores, Lima (Ingreso de vehículos por calle Bellavista 199).

El ingreso al seminario es libre. Para asistir, por favor confirmar asistencia hasta el miércoles 21 de noviembre al mediodía enviando un mensaje con su nombre y afiliación a seminarios.economia@udep.pe.

 

Luego del seminario, los participantes están invitados a una breve recepción con el expositor.

Lista completa de seminarios: http://www.limase.pe/investigacion.php#seminarios


23 noviembre, 2018
4:00 pm - 5:15 pm
Aula D11
Calle Mártir José Olaya 162, Miraflores
Lima, Perú
Departamento de Economía – Lima
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